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How many copies did Mia and the Dragon Princess sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7k–12k
$30k–$81k after Steam's cut $55k–$124k before Steam's cut
from 294 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mia and the Dragon Princess and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Mia and the Dragon Princess's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 225k–552k
best case 702k (NEKOPARA Vol. 2)
Games like Mia and the Dragon Princess

A typical game among these

≈ 225k–552k copies

≈ $1.6M–$2.2M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: NEKOPARA Vol. 2 at ≈ 535k–870k copies, ≈ $1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Anime (4 of 4) and Visual Novel (4 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with Anime + Sexual Content, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sakura Spirit
2014
Est. copies
≈ 383k–622k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Mostly Positive
AnimeVisual Novel
NEKOPARA Vol. 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 535k–870k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeSexual Content
Marco & The Galaxy Dragon
2020
Est. copies
≈ 196k–319k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAnime
Higurashi When They Cry Hou - Ch.2 Watanagashi
2015
Est. copies
≈ 97k–158k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$214k–$575k after Steam's cut $389k–$885k before Steam's cut
$7.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.