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How many copies did Dolls Nest sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 62k–101k
$343k–$921k after Steam's cut $623k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dolls Nest and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dolls Nest's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 675–748k
best case 2.8M (ARMORED CORE™ VI FIRES OF RUBICON™)
Games like Dolls Nest

A typical game among these

≈ 675–748k copies

≈ $2k–$8.3M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: ARMORED CORE™ VI FIRES OF RUBICON™ at ≈ 2.1M–3.5M copies, ≈ $35.2M–$94.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 46k reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Mechs (5 of 8) and Sci-fi (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mechs + Character Customization, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ARMORED CORE™ VI FIRES OF RUBICON™
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.5M
16x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$35.2M–$94.8M after Steam's cut $64.1M–$145.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
86k reviews
Very Positive
MechsCharacter Customization
The Surge 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 277k–450k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
10k reviews
Mostly Positive
The Surge
2017
Est. copies
≈ 423k–688k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
12k reviews
Mostly Positive
Souls-likeAction
BATTLETECH
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
6.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.1M–$29.9M after Steam's cut $20.2M–$46.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
33k reviews
Very Positive
MechsStrategy
Robo Pose
2024
Est. copies
≈ 347–564
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$285–$767 after Steam's cut $519–$1k before Steam's cut
$2.99
14 reviews
Positive
Metal Wolf Chaos XD
2019
Est. copies
≈ 26k–43k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$182k–$488k after Steam's cut $330k–$752k before Steam's cut
$24.99
918 reviews
Very Positive
AmericaMechs
Mugen Journey
2021
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$41–$110 after Steam's cut $74–$169 before Steam's cut
$1.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
ActionCasual
Katana Robo: RTA
2023
Est. copies
≈ 570–927
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$7.99
23 reviews
Mostly Positive
3D PlatformerRunner

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