How much revenue did Shadow Watcher make?

$1k–$3k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Shadow Watcher sell?

Q: How many copies did Shadow Watcher sell?

546 to 887 copies, based on its 22 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 546–887; $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut; from 22 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Shadow Watcher and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shadow Watcher's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 574k–699k

best case 6.6M (STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™)

Games like Shadow Watcher

A typical game among these

≈ 574k–699k copies

≈ $7.1M–$10.8M after Steam's cut

from ~18k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™ at ≈ 5.1M–8.2M copies, ≈ $55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 4k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Souls-like (8 of 8) and Action-Adventure (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Souls-like, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Dark Fantasy; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
DARK SOULS™: REMASTERED 2018	Est. copies ≈ 4.8M–7.7M 8.9x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $52.3M–$140.6M after Steam's cut $95.1M–$216.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	156k reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeDark Fantasy
DARK SOULS™: Prepare To Die™ Edition 2012	Est. copies ≈ 5.0M–8.1M 4.5x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	79k reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeRPG
TUNIC 2022	Est. copies ≈ 464k–753k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	19k reviews Very Positive	ExplorationPuzzle
Tails of Iron 2021	Est. copies ≈ 376k–611k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	15k reviews Very Positive	Action RPGSouls-like
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™ 2019	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.2M 10.0x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut $101.1M–$230.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	176k reviews Very Positive	Action-AdventureSouls-like
Blasphemous 2 2023	Est. copies ≈ 540k–878k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.7M–$18.0M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut	$44.99	22k reviews Very Positive	CombatFantasy
Kena: Bridge of Spirits 2022	Est. copies ≈ 437k–711k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.8M–$12.9M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.9M before Steam's cut	$39.99	18k reviews Very Positive	ActionAdventure
Darksiders III 2018	Est. copies ≈ 533k–866k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.9M–$15.8M after Steam's cut $10.7M–$24.2M before Steam's cut	$39.99	18k reviews Mostly Positive	Hack and SlashAction