How much revenue did WAVECADE make?

$2k–$7k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did WAVECADE sell?

Q: How many copies did WAVECADE sell?

893 to 1k copies, based on its 36 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 893–1k; $2k–$7k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut; from 36 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid WAVECADE and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including WAVECADE's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 419k–1.6M

best case 2.2M (SUPERHOT)

Games like WAVECADE

A typical game among these

≈ 419k–1.6M copies

≈ $3.9M–$11.9M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: SUPERHOT at ≈ 1.7M–2.8M copies, ≈ $11.7M–$31.4M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Shooter (6 of 8) and FPS (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with FPS + Bullet Time, priced around $25.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2010 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Quantum Break 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $14.2M–$38.3M after Steam's cut $25.9M–$58.9M before Steam's cut	$39.99	31k reviews Very Positive	ActionStory Rich
Heat Signature 2017	Est. copies ≈ 255k–415k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.1M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	7k reviews Very Positive	SpaceStealth
F.E.A.R. 2010	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.2M–$14.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	20k reviews Very Positive	Horror FPS
Trepang2 2023	Est. copies ≈ 489k–795k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.7M–$12.7M after Steam's cut $8.6M–$19.5M before Steam's cut	$34.99	20k reviews Very Positive	ShooterSingleplayer
Singularity™ 2010	Est. copies ≈ 377k–612k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	6k reviews Very Positive	FPSAction
SUPERHOT 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M 2.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $11.7M–$31.4M after Steam's cut $21.2M–$48.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	41k reviews Very Positive	ActionFPS
Vanquish 2017	Est. copies ≈ 275k–447k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	8k reviews Very Positive	ActionThird-Person Shooter
SUPERHOT VR 2017	Est. copies ≈ 334k–543k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.5M before Steam's cut	$24.99	10k reviews Very Positive	VRShooter