How much revenue did SGS NATO's Nightmare make?

$28k–$76k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did SGS NATO's Nightmare sell?

Q: How many copies did SGS NATO's Nightmare sell?

3k to 5k copies, based on its 119 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3k–5k; $28k–$76k after Steam's cut $52k–$117k before Steam's cut; from 119 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SGS NATO's Nightmare and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SGS NATO's Nightmare's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4k–17k

best case 163k (Twilight Struggle)

Games like SGS NATO's Nightmare

A typical game among these

≈ 4k–17k copies

≈ $26k–$129k after Steam's cut

from ~212 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Twilight Struggle at ≈ 124k–202k copies, ≈ $342k–$919k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 95 reviews in their first month; the range was 19 to 377.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Political Sim (6 of 8) and Turn-Based Strategy (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Board Game + Tabletop, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
SGS Korean War 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $28k–$74k after Steam's cut $50k–$114k before Steam's cut	$29.99	135 reviews Very Positive	StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Twilight Struggle 2016	Est. copies ≈ 124k–202k 14x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $342k–$919k after Steam's cut $622k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$9.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Board GameStrategy
Reiner Knizia Yellow & Yangtze 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3k–6k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $14k–$38k after Steam's cut $26k–$58k before Steam's cut	$14.99	119 reviews Very Positive	StrategyIndie
NationWar2:Chronicle 2024	Est. copies ≈ 11k–17k 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $50k–$134k after Steam's cut $91k–$206k before Steam's cut	$16.99	430 reviews Mostly Positive	SimulationStrategy
World Empire 2027 2022	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $12k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$48k before Steam's cut	$19.99	85 reviews Mostly Positive	WarStrategy
SGS Taipings 2023	Est. copies ≈ 6k–9k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $47k–$127k after Steam's cut $86k–$195k before Steam's cut	$29.99	231 reviews Mostly Positive	WargamePolitical Sim
Emperor of the Fading Suns Enhanced 2025	Est. copies ≈ 5k–8k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $13k–$35k after Steam's cut $24k–$54k before Steam's cut	$9.99	193 reviews Very Positive	Strategy4X
Rise Of The White Sun - 白日升 2023	Est. copies ≈ 19k–31k 3.6x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $131k–$353k after Steam's cut $239k–$543k before Steam's cut	$24.99	770 reviews Very Positive	Strategy4X