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How many copies did DEATH STRANDING DIRECTOR'S CUT sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
$17.5M–$47.0M after Steam's cut $31.8M–$72.3M before the cut
from 66k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left DEATH STRANDING DIRECTOR'S CUT out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including DEATH STRANDING DIRECTOR'S CUT's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.5M–13.7M
best case 26.0M (Fallout 4)
The Open World genre

All 8 of your similar games are hits. A big, proven genre for a game like yours.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game
≈ 5.5M–13.7M copies
≈ $67.2M–$167.1M after Steam's cut
from ~131k reviews
Best case
≈ 19.8M–32.2M copies
Fallout 4 · ≈ $108.8M–$292.6M after Steam's cut
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (4 of 8) and Fantasy (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Post-apocalyptic, priced around $20.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2018. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

Call of Duty®: Black Ops III
2015
Est. copies
≈ 294k–477k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4.8M–$13.0M after Steam's cut $8.8M–$20.0M before the cut
$59.99
6k reviews
Mostly Negative
MultiplayerFPS
Dragon's Dogma: Dark Arisen
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.1M–$43.3M after Steam's cut $29.3M–$66.6M before the cut
$29.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
RPGOpen World
Fallout 4
2015
Est. copies
≈ 19.8M–32.2M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$108.8M–$292.6M after Steam's cut $197.9M–$450.2M before the cut
$19.99
427k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldPost-apocalyptic
Assassin's Creed® Origins
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$72.4M–$194.7M after Steam's cut $131.7M–$299.6M before the cut
$59.99
128k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAssassin
Firewatch
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.7M–$58.3M after Steam's cut $39.4M–$89.7M before the cut
$19.99
99k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAtmospheric
DARK SOULS™ II: Scholar of the First Sin
2015
Est. copies
≈ 6.1M–9.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$66.6M–$179.0M after Steam's cut $121.1M–$275.4M before the cut
$39.99
131k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy
DARK SOULS™: REMASTERED
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.7M–7.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$51.1M–$137.5M after Steam's cut $93.0M–$211.5M before the cut
$39.99
153k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 14.8M–24.1M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$163.2M–$438.9M after Steam's cut $296.8M–$675.2M before the cut
$39.99
371k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG

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