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How many copies did DEEP FOG sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–6k
$15k–$41k after Steam's cut $28k–$63k before Steam's cut
from 149 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid DEEP FOG and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including DEEP FOG's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7k–68k
best case 187k (The Sinking City Remastered)
Games like DEEP FOG

A typical game among these

≈ 7k–68k copies

≈ $34k–$551k after Steam's cut

from ~758 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Sinking City Remastered at ≈ 143k–232k copies, ≈ $1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 186 reviews in their first month; the range was 16 to 839.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action RPG (5 of 8) and Lovecraftian (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Lovecraftian + Third-Person Shooter, priced around $40.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Super Grave Snatchers
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Est. copies
≈ 2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
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Villain ProtagonistRetro
Stygian: Outer Gods
2025
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≈ 17k–28k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
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$118k–$317k after Steam's cut $214k–$488k before Steam's cut
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Source of Madness
2022
Est. copies
≈ 39k–64k
2.1x vs typical
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Est. revenue
$216k–$581k after Steam's cut $393k–$893k before Steam's cut
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Mixed
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Elderand
2023
Est. copies
≈ 20k–33k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$112k–$302k after Steam's cut $204k–$465k before Steam's cut
$19.99
824 reviews
Mostly Positive
MEAT
2021
Est. copies
≈ 5k–9k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$10k–$27k after Steam's cut $18k–$42k before Steam's cut
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211 reviews
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RPGPixel Graphics
Vigil: The Longest Night
2020
Est. copies
≈ 91k–147k
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$548k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $997k–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$21.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaSide Scroller
The Sinking City Remastered
2021
Est. copies
≈ 143k–232k
7.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
6k reviews
Mostly Positive
LovecraftianThird-Person Shooter
Folk Hero
2023
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$21k–$57k after Steam's cut $39k–$88k before Steam's cut
$14.99
209 reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeDungeon Crawler

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.