How much revenue did Folk Hero make?

$21k–$57k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Folk Hero sell?

Q: How many copies did Folk Hero sell?

5k to 8k copies, based on its 209 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 5k–8k; $21k–$57k after Steam's cut $39k–$88k before Steam's cut; from 209 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Folk Hero and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Folk Hero's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 326k–680k

best case 4.2M (Cult of the Lamb)

Games like Folk Hero

A typical game among these

≈ 326k–680k copies

≈ $2.1M–$5.0M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Cult of the Lamb at ≈ 3.2M–5.2M copies, ≈ $22.2M–$59.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 769 to 24k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action Roguelike (8 of 8) and Dungeon Crawler (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Base-Building + Action Roguelike, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Base-Building + Cute + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Barony 2015	Est. copies ≈ 888k–1.4M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.9M–$13.1M after Steam's cut $8.9M–$20.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	18k reviews Very Positive	Dungeon CrawlerAction Roguelike
Curse of the Dead Gods 2021	Est. copies ≈ 229k–373k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	9k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeIsometric
Heroes of Hammerwatch 2018	Est. copies ≈ 290k–471k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$4.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	10k reviews Very Positive	Rogue-liteAction Roguelike
Crawl 2017	Est. copies ≈ 252k–409k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut	$14.99	7k reviews Very Positive	Pixel GraphicsLocal Multiplayer
Moonlighter 2018	Est. copies ≈ 747k–1.2M 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.5M–$17.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	25k reviews Very Positive	Hack and SlashPixel Graphics
Tiny Rogues 2022	Est. copies ≈ 267k–435k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $735k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	11k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
UnderMine 2020	Est. copies ≈ 245k–397k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	10k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Cult of the Lamb 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.2M–5.2M 13x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $22.2M–$59.6M after Steam's cut $40.3M–$91.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	130k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Base-BuildingCute