How much revenue did HG Adventure make?

$19k–$52k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did HG Adventure sell?

Q: How many copies did HG Adventure sell?

5k to 8k copies, based on its 202 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 5k–8k; $19k–$52k after Steam's cut $35k–$80k before Steam's cut; from 202 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid HG Adventure and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including HG Adventure's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 228–2.0M

best case 57.1M (Stardew Valley)

Games like HG Adventure

A typical game among these

≈ 228–2.0M copies

≈ $45k–$21.4M after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Stardew Valley at ≈ 43.5M–70.7M copies, ≈ $179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

The games that made it here had under 16k reviews in their first month.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Farming Sim (8 of 8) and Simulation (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Farming Sim + Life Sim, priced around $15.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Farming Simulator 22 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.7M 67x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.7M–$34.1M after Steam's cut $23.1M–$52.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	93k reviews Very Positive	Simulation Farming Sim
My Time at Portia 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M 32x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.5M–$28.3M after Steam's cut $19.1M–$43.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	44k reviews Very Positive	Life SimRPG
Stardew Valley 2016	Est. copies ≈ 43.5M–70.7M 752x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut $326.2M–$742.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Farming SimPixel Graphics
Luna's Fishing Garden 2021	Est. copies ≈ 55k–90k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $122k–$327k after Steam's cut $221k–$504k before Steam's cut	$7.99	2k reviews Very Positive	2D PlatformerCollectathon
Dream Town Island 2023	Est. copies ≈ 14k–22k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $49k–$131k after Steam's cut $88k–$201k before Steam's cut	$12.99	549 reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationStrategy
ChingMing 2024	Est. copies ≈ 223–363 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $122–$329 after Steam's cut $222–$506 before Steam's cut	$1.99	9 reviews 9 user reviews	CookingTower Defense
奇迹世界 miracle world 2021	Est. copies ≈ 25–40 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $7–$18 after Steam's cut $12–$28 before Steam's cut	$0.99	1 reviews 1 user reviews	CasualSimulation
Better Me Book (Leaving Steam) 2023	Est. copies ≈ 25–40 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	1 reviews 1 user reviews	Life SimSimulation