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How many copies did 14 Minesweeper Variants sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 42k–68k
$80k–$215k after Steam's cut $146k–$331k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 14 Minesweeper Variants and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 14 Minesweeper Variants's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 91k–165k
best case 301k (Human Resource Machine)
Games like 14 Minesweeper Variants

A typical game among these

≈ 91k–165k copies

≈ $190k–$610k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Human Resource Machine at ≈ 230k–373k copies, ≈ $946k–$2.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 75 reviews in their first month; the range was 15 to 144.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Experimental (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Programming + Puzzle, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

I hate this game
2019
Est. copies
≈ 76k–124k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$42k–$112k after Steam's cut $76k–$172k before Steam's cut
$1.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
IndiePuzzle
Understand
2020
Est. copies
≈ 21k–34k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$23k–$62k after Steam's cut $42k–$95k before Steam's cut
$3.99
848 reviews
Very Positive
AbstractMinimalist
Human Resource Machine
2015
Est. copies
≈ 230k–373k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$946k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
ProgrammingPuzzle
100 hidden eternals
2020
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut
$0.99
689 reviews
Very Positive
CasualHidden Object
Escape from Tatris
2020
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
399 reviews
Very Positive
CasualPuzzle
Progressbar95
2020
Est. copies
≈ 91k–148k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$125k–$337k after Steam's cut $228k–$519k before Steam's cut
$4.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualArcade
Proverbs
2024
Est. copies
≈ 50k–81k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$123k–$332k after Steam's cut $224k–$510k before Steam's cut
$8.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualPuzzle
14 Minesweeper Variants 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$19k–$51k after Steam's cut $34k–$78k before Steam's cut
$6.99
397 reviews
Very Positive
CasualPuzzle

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