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How many copies did WrestleQuest sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 15k–24k
$123k–$330k after Steam's cut $223k–$508k before Steam's cut
from 600 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid WrestleQuest and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including WrestleQuest's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.8M–3.7M
best case 9.1M (Clair Obscur: Expedition 33)
Games like WrestleQuest

A typical game among these

≈ 1.8M–3.7M copies

≈ $27.4M–$77.6M after Steam's cut

from ~65k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 at ≈ 6.9M–11.3M copies, ≈ $95.2M–$256.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 15k reviews in their first month; the range was 11k to 92k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share JRPG (6 of 8) and Turn-Based Combat (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Combat + Story Rich, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Metaphor: ReFantazio
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$20.7M–$55.7M after Steam's cut $37.7M–$85.7M before Steam's cut
$69.99
43k reviews
Very Positive
RPGJRPG
Persona 4 Golden
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.0M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
88k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
JRPGGreat Soundtrack
Persona 5 Royal
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$57.7M–$155.1M after Steam's cut $104.9M–$238.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
141k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Wartales
2023
Est. copies
≈ 899k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.7M–$23.3M after Steam's cut $15.7M–$35.8M before Steam's cut
$34.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
RPGOpen World
Persona 3 Reload
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$26.5M–$71.2M after Steam's cut $48.2M–$109.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
65k reviews
Very Positive
JRPGRPG
Clair Obscur: Expedition 33
2025
Est. copies
≈ 6.9M–11.3M
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$95.2M–$256.1M after Steam's cut $173.2M–$394.0M before Steam's cut
$49.99
279k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Turn-Based CombatStory Rich
Divinity: Original Sin - Enhanced Edition
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$17.8M–$47.8M after Steam's cut $32.3M–$73.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
33k reviews
Very Positive
RPGTurn-Based
Kaiju Big Battel: Fighto Fantasy
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut
$9.99
62 reviews
Very Positive
JRPGWrestling

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