How much revenue did Melania make?

$920–$2k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Melania sell?

Q: How many copies did Melania sell?

670 to 1k copies, based on its 27 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 670–1k; $920–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut; from 27 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Melania and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Melania's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 129k–257k

best case 841k (Contraband Police)

Games like Melania

A typical game among these

≈ 129k–257k copies

≈ $792k–$3.1M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Contraband Police at ≈ 641k–1.0M copies, ≈ $5.3M–$14.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 605 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 4k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Simulation (7 of 8) and Immersive Sim (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Simulation, priced around $30.
When they shipped: Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Scourge of the village 2024	Est. copies ≈ 7k–12k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $16k–$42k after Steam's cut $29k–$65k before Steam's cut	$7.99	289 reviews Mostly Positive	MysteryPsychological Horror
Contraband Police: Prologue 2021	Est. copies ≈ 189k–307k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	8k reviews Very Positive	SimulationAction
Gunner, HEAT, PC! 2022	Est. copies ≈ 203k–330k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	8k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessSimulation
Capcom Arcade Stadium 2021	Est. copies ≈ 118k–192k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	5k reviews Mixed	ArcadeAction
Wrestling Empire 2021	Est. copies ≈ 78k–127k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $429k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $781k–$1.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Very Positive	SportsWrestling
PARANORMASIGHT: The Seven Mysteries of Honjo 2023	Est. copies ≈ 181k–295k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $997k–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	7k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelAdventure
Contraband Police 2023	Est. copies ≈ 641k–1.0M 3.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.3M–$14.2M after Steam's cut $9.6M–$21.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	26k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open WorldSimulation
Sleep Simulator 2024	Est. copies ≈ 50–81 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $28–$73 after Steam's cut $50–$113 before Steam's cut	$1.99	2 reviews 2 user reviews	2D PlatformerStrategy