How much revenue did Contraband Police make?

$5.3M–$14.2M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Contraband Police sell?

Q: How many copies did Contraband Police sell?

641k to 1.0M copies, based on its 26k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 641k–1.0M; $5.3M–$14.2M after Steam's cut $9.6M–$21.9M before Steam's cut; from 26k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Contraband Police and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Contraband Police's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9.9M–10.5M

best case 27.3M (The Forest)

Games like Contraband Police

A typical game among these

≈ 9.9M–10.5M copies

≈ $110.9M–$211.7M after Steam's cut

from ~303k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 165k reviews in their first month; the range was 17k to 200k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (8 of 8) and Realistic (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Open World Survival Craft + Adventure; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Sons Of The Forest 2024	Est. copies ≈ 8.0M–12.9M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $65.7M–$176.6M after Steam's cut $119.4M–$271.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	321k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalOpen World
Forza Horizon 4 2021	Est. copies ≈ 7.5M–12.2M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	303k reviews Very Positive	RacingOpen World
Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord 2022	Est. copies ≈ 7.4M–12.0M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $101.7M–$273.3M after Steam's cut $184.8M–$420.5M before Steam's cut	$49.99	298k reviews Very Positive	MedievalStrategy
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.8M–33.7M 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	683k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
BeamNG.drive 2015	Est. copies ≈ 20.5M–33.4M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut $256.7M–$584.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	421k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationDriving
Arma 3 2013	Est. copies ≈ 18.7M–30.4M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $154.1M–$414.3M after Steam's cut $280.2M–$637.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	296k reviews Very Positive	MilitaryAction
No Man's Sky 2016	Est. copies ≈ 17.5M–28.5M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut $526.0M–$1196.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	422k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
Schedule I 2025	Est. copies ≈ 7.9M–12.8M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $43.4M–$116.6M after Steam's cut $78.8M–$179.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	318k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Simulation Co-op