How much revenue did Ninja Noboken make?

$953–$3k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Ninja Noboken sell?

Q: How many copies did Ninja Noboken sell?

694 to 1k copies, based on its 28 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 694–1k; $953–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut; from 28 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ninja Noboken and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ninja Noboken's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 85k–604k

best case 6.6M (STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™)

Games like Ninja Noboken

A typical game among these

≈ 85k–604k copies

≈ $783k–$3.3M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™ at ≈ 5.1M–8.2M copies, ≈ $55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 351 to 2k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Exploration (5 of 8) and Hack and Slash (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action-Adventure + Souls-like, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Open World + Story Rich + Swordplay; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™ 2019	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.2M 24x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut $101.1M–$230.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	176k reviews Very Positive	Action-AdventureSouls-like
Prince of Persia The Lost Crown 2024	Est. copies ≈ 182k–295k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	7k reviews Very Positive	MetroidvaniaExploration
Afterimage 2023	Est. copies ≈ 260k–423k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut	$24.99	10k reviews Mostly Positive	MetroidvaniaFemale Protagonist
Darksiders™ 2010	Est. copies ≈ 818k–1.3M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	13k reviews Very Positive	ActionAdventure
Blue Fire 2021	Est. copies ≈ 77k–126k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $425k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $772k–$1.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Very Positive	MetroidvaniaExploration
Frontier Hunter: Erza’s Wheel of Fortune 2024	Est. copies ≈ 53k–86k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $364k–$978k after Steam's cut $662k–$1.5M before Steam's cut	$24.99	2k reviews Very Positive	MetroidvaniaFemale Protagonist
Castlevania: Lords of Shadow – Ultimate Edition 2013	Est. copies ≈ 660k–1.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.4M–$14.6M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	10k reviews Very Positive	ActionAdventure
The Darkest Tales — Into the Nightmare 2021	Est. copies ≈ 46k–75k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	2k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayAdventure