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How many copies did Weird RPG sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 105k–171k
$318k–$854k after Steam's cut $578k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Weird RPG and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Weird RPG's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.4M–8.5M
best case 39.5M (Black Myth: Wukong)
Games like Weird RPG

A typical game among these

≈ 3.4M–8.5M copies

≈ $53.2M–$131.5M after Steam's cut

from ~118k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Black Myth: Wukong at ≈ 30.1M–48.9M copies, ≈ $496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 95 to 836k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action RPG (8 of 8) and Souls-like (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mythology + Action RPG, priced around $60.
When they shipped
5 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Last Epoch
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$28.3M–$76.0M after Steam's cut $51.4M–$116.9M before Steam's cut
$34.99
118k reviews
Mostly Positive
Action RPGLoot
Death of a Wish
2024
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$17k–$46k after Steam's cut $31k–$71k before Steam's cut
$14.99
167 reviews
Very Positive
Spectacle fighterHack and Slash
Lies of P
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$34.0M–$91.5M after Steam's cut $61.9M–$140.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
83k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeAction
DARK SOULS™ II
2014
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$28.9M–$77.6M after Steam's cut $52.5M–$119.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
47k reviews
Very Positive
DARK SOULS™ II: Scholar of the First Sin
2015
Est. copies
≈ 6.5M–10.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$71.3M–$191.8M after Steam's cut $129.7M–$295.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
133k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Nine Treasures of Liuyin
2024
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$38k–$102k after Steam's cut $69k–$156k before Steam's cut
$18.99
292 reviews
Very Positive
Action RPGAction-Adventure
Black Myth: Wukong
2024
Est. copies
≈ 30.1M–48.9M
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut $902.2M–$2052.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
1.2M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MythologyAction RPG
NanoApostle
2024
Est. copies
≈ 33k–53k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$179k–$481k after Steam's cut $325k–$740k before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
ActionBoss Rush

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