How much revenue did While the Iron's Hot make?

$31k–$83k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did While the Iron's Hot sell?

Q: How many copies did While the Iron's Hot sell?

6k to 9k copies, based on its 227 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 6k–9k; $31k–$83k after Steam's cut $56k–$128k before Steam's cut; from 227 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid While the Iron's Hot and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including While the Iron's Hot's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–7k

best case 627k (A Little to the Left)

Games like While the Iron's Hot

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–7k copies

≈ $6k–$56k after Steam's cut

from ~140 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: A Little to the Left at ≈ 478k–777k copies, ≈ $2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 68 reviews in their first month; the range was 16 to 579.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle (5 of 8) and Simulation (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Crafting + Simulation, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry 2D + Pixel Graphics + Strategy; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Escapists 2015	Est. copies ≈ 791k–1.3M 116x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.4M–$14.6M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.5M before Steam's cut	$24.99	16k reviews Very Positive	Pixel GraphicsStrategy
A Little to the Left 2022	Est. copies ≈ 478k–777k 138x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	19k reviews Very Positive	PuzzleRelaxing
DreamWorks Dragons: Dawn of New Riders 2019	Est. copies ≈ 7k–11k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $56k–$151k after Steam's cut $102k–$233k before Steam's cut	$29.99	237 reviews Very Positive	AdventureDragons
Build Lands 2022	Est. copies ≈ 967–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$3.99	39 reviews Mostly Positive	City BuilderAtmospheric
Alchemist: The Potion Monger 2024	Est. copies ≈ 3k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $11k–$28k after Steam's cut $19k–$44k before Steam's cut	$13.99	111 reviews Very Positive	RelaxingSingleplayer
The Last Alchemist 2024	Est. copies ≈ 4k–7k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $23k–$62k after Steam's cut $42k–$95k before Steam's cut	$19.99	168 reviews Mostly Positive	SimulationFantasy
Lonesome Village 2022	Est. copies ≈ 6k–10k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $33k–$89k after Steam's cut $60k–$137k before Steam's cut	$19.99	243 reviews Mostly Positive	CozyAdventure
Furniture : Build & Repair 2024	Est. copies ≈ 967–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$3.99	39 reviews Mixed	Puzzle Simulation