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How many copies did Twilight Monk sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9k–15k
$52k–$139k after Steam's cut $94k–$214k before Steam's cut
from 379 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Twilight Monk and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Twilight Monk's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.0M–1.3M
best case 1.0M (ASTLIBRA Revision)
Games like Twilight Monk

A typical game among these

≈ 1.0M–1.3M copies

≈ $8.1M–$8.6M after Steam's cut

from ~19k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Metroidvania (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: ASTLIBRA Revision at ≈ 792k–1.3M copies, ≈ $5.4M–$14.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Metroidvania (4 of 8) and Dark Fantasy (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Souls-like + Metroidvania, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Souls-like; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hyper Light Drifter
2016
Est. copies
≈ 799k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.4M–$11.8M after Steam's cut $8.0M–$18.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsGreat Soundtrack
Salt and Sanctuary
2016
Est. copies
≈ 915k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.5M–$12.2M after Steam's cut $8.2M–$18.7M before Steam's cut
$17.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
Death's Door
2021
Est. copies
≈ 552k–897k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.2M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
CuteSouls-like
Dust: An Elysian Tail
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
19k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionPlatformer
Darksiders Warmastered Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 789k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.3M–$11.7M after Steam's cut $7.9M–$17.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
ActionHack and Slash
Blasphemous 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 540k–878k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$18.0M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut
$44.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
CombatFantasy
ASTLIBRA Revision
2022
Est. copies
≈ 792k–1.3M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.6M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RPG2D
Darksiders II Deathinitive Edition
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$8.4M–$22.5M after Steam's cut $15.2M–$34.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
21k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionHack and Slash

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.