How much revenue did SIMULACRA 3 make?

$25k–$67k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did SIMULACRA 3 sell?

Q: How many copies did SIMULACRA 3 sell?

9k to 15k copies, based on its 367 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 9k–15k; $25k–$67k after Steam's cut $45k–$103k before Steam's cut; from 367 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SIMULACRA 3 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SIMULACRA 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 24k–35k

best case 349k (No Case Should Remain Unsolved)

Games like SIMULACRA 3

A typical game among these

≈ 24k–35k copies

≈ $53k–$124k after Steam's cut

from ~769 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: No Case Should Remain Unsolved at ≈ 266k–433k copies, ≈ $512k–$1.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 508 reviews in their first month; the range was 296 to 3k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Immersive Sim (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Investigation + Puzzle, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Investigation + Conspiracy + Story Rich; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: 5 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Paper Bride 2 Zangling Village 2022	Est. copies ≈ 28k–46k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $78k–$210k after Steam's cut $142k–$324k before Steam's cut	$9.99	1k reviews Very Positive	Horror Puzzle
The Operator 2024	Est. copies ≈ 220k–358k 12x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $848k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut	$13.99	9k reviews Very Positive	DetectiveInvestigation
墨心：波云诡船 2020	Est. copies ≈ 35k–56k 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $28k–$76k after Steam's cut $52k–$118k before Steam's cut	$2.99	1k reviews Very Positive	AdventureVisual Novel
晨昏线 2025	Est. copies ≈ 12k–20k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $34k–$92k after Steam's cut $62k–$141k before Steam's cut	$9.99	500 reviews Mostly Positive	FMVImmersive Sim
No Case Should Remain Unsolved 2024	Est. copies ≈ 266k–433k 14x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $512k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $930k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$6.99	11k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Interactive FictionPuzzle
Doctor Who: The Lonely Assassins 2021	Est. copies ≈ 18k–29k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $30k–$80k after Steam's cut $54k–$123k before Steam's cut	$5.99	725 reviews Very Positive	CasualAdventure
Spy Alliance 2024	Est. copies ≈ 20k–32k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $11k–$29k after Steam's cut $20k–$45k before Steam's cut	$1.99	799 reviews Mixed	ExplorationCRPG
Superscout 2024	Est. copies ≈ 18k–30k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $91k–$243k after Steam's cut $165k–$375k before Steam's cut	$17.99	738 reviews Mostly Positive	FMVDating Sim