How much revenue did Melon Dusk make?

$407–$1k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Melon Dusk sell?

Q: How many copies did Melon Dusk sell?

744 to 1k copies, based on its 30 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 744–1k; $407–$1k after Steam's cut $740–$2k before Steam's cut; from 30 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Melon Dusk and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Melon Dusk's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 27k–66k

best case 261k (Vigor)

Games like Melon Dusk

A typical game among these

≈ 27k–66k copies

≈ $221k–$415k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Vigor at ≈ 199k–324k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 616 reviews in their first month; the range was 67 to 4k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Shooter (6 of 8) and FPS (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Looter Shooter + Post-apocalyptic. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer + PvP + Post-apocalyptic; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: 4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Black Gunner Wukong 2024	Est. copies ≈ 12k–20k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $33k–$89k after Steam's cut $60k–$137k before Steam's cut	$9.99	487 reviews Very Positive	Shoot 'Em UpAction Roguelike
Vampire Hunters 2024	Est. copies ≈ 55k–89k 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $225k–$605k after Steam's cut $409k–$930k before Steam's cut	$14.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeFPS
ROBOBEAT 2024	Est. copies ≈ 46k–74k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $252k–$677k after Steam's cut $458k–$1.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeRhythm
Black Ice 2014	Est. copies ≈ 38k–61k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $208k–$559k after Steam's cut $378k–$860k before Steam's cut	$19.99	675 reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Early AccessExploration
Alien Shooter 2 - The Legend 2020	Est. copies ≈ 29k–47k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $120k–$322k after Steam's cut $217k–$495k before Steam's cut	$14.99	1k reviews Mixed	Action RPGShooter
Vigor 2024	Est. copies ≈ 199k–324k 6.9x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	8k reviews Mixed	Looter ShooterMultiplayer
OMFG: One Million Fatal Guns 2021	Est. copies ≈ 59k–96k 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	2k reviews Very Positive	Arena ShooterFPS
S.O.T.A 2 2021	Est. copies ≈ 9k–15k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	367 reviews Mixed	Early AccessRPG