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How many copies did ROBOBEAT sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 46k–74k
$252k–$677k after Steam's cut $458k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ROBOBEAT and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ROBOBEAT's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 13k–3.7M
best case 12.4M (Deep Rock Galactic)
Games like ROBOBEAT

A typical game among these

≈ 13k–3.7M copies

≈ $1.5M–$19.2M after Steam's cut

from ~25k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Rhythm (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Deep Rock Galactic at ≈ 9.4M–15.3M copies, ≈ $77.8M–$209.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 12k reviews in their first month; the range was 10 to 63k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rhythm (4 of 8) and Action Roguelike (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dwarf + Co-op, priced around $30.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Gunfire Reborn
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.2M–$38.1M after Steam's cut $25.7M–$58.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
104k reviews
Very Positive
Lady of Dreams
2023
Est. copies
≈ 769–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
31 reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureAction
Muse Dash
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before Steam's cut
$2.99
122k reviews
Very Positive
MusicRhythm
嗜血印 Bloody Spell
2022
Est. copies
≈ 976k–1.6M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$18.0M after Steam's cut $12.2M–$27.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
NuditySexual Content
BPM: BULLETS PER MINUTE
2020
Est. copies
≈ 283k–461k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
Grandfather Simulator
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$624–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$1.99
46 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualRPG
Deep Rock Galactic
2020
Est. copies
≈ 9.4M–15.3M
15x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$77.8M–$209.2M after Steam's cut $141.5M–$321.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
380k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DwarfCo-op
Desert Of The Dead
2019
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$17k–$46k after Steam's cut $31k–$71k before Steam's cut
$4.99
432 reviews
Mixed
ShooterAction

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