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How many copies did Hidden Farm Top-Down 3D sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$78k–$209k after Steam's cut $141k–$322k before Steam's cut
from 57 reviews (Mostly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hidden Farm Top-Down 3D and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hidden Farm Top-Down 3D's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–4k
best case 78k (The Genesis Project)
Games like Hidden Farm Top-Down 3D

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–4k copies

≈ $2k–$8k after Steam's cut

from ~74 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: The Genesis Project at ≈ 59k–97k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 22 reviews in their first month; the range was 6 to 334.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action RPG (8 of 8) and Action-Adventure (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Action-Adventure. The breakout hits carry Early Access + Platformer + Party-Based RPG; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Turn-Based StrategyTurn-Based Tactics

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.