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How many copies did Down Fast VR sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 546–887
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
from 22 reviews (Mostly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Down Fast VR and predicted how it would do from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including Down Fast VR's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–2.2M
best case 12.8M (Assetto Corsa)
Games like Down Fast VR

A typical game among these

≈ 1.4M–2.2M copies

≈ $17.7M–$24.8M after Steam's cut

from ~40k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 7 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Assetto Corsa at ≈ 9.8M–15.9M copies, ≈ $53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Automobile Sim (7 of 7) and Driving (7 of 7).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + Automobile Sim, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry VR + Realistic; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

RaceRoom Racing Experience
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
28k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayRacing
Assetto Corsa
2014
Est. copies
≈ 9.8M–15.9M
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut $97.8M–$222.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
175k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
Assetto Corsa Competizione
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.4M after Steam's cut $28.0M–$63.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
DiRT Rally 2.0
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
F1® 22
2022
Est. copies
≈ 634k–1.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
26k reviews
Mixed
RacingImmersive Sim
DiRT Rally
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
40k reviews
Very Positive
RacingSimulation
F1® 2020
2020
Est. copies
≈ 990k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
40k reviews
Very Positive
RacingSimulation

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