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How many copies did Dragon Spirits 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–7k
$17k–$46k after Steam's cut $31k–$71k before Steam's cut
from 181 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dragon Spirits 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dragon Spirits 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 689k–1.3M
best case 6.9M (METAL GEAR SOLID V: THE PHANTOM PAIN)
Games like Dragon Spirits 2

A typical game among these

≈ 689k–1.3M copies

≈ $5.3M–$16.8M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: METAL GEAR SOLID V: THE PHANTOM PAIN at ≈ 5.3M–8.6M copies, ≈ $29.1M–$78.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 794 to 33k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (8 of 8) and Tactical (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Stealth + Open World, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2008 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

METAL GEAR SOLID V: THE PHANTOM PAIN
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
6.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.1M–$78.2M after Steam's cut $52.9M–$120.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
108k reviews
Very Positive
StealthOpen World
Temtem
2022
Est. copies
≈ 975k–1.6M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.4M after Steam's cut $21.9M–$49.9M before Steam's cut
$44.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opMultiplayer
Tactical Breach Wizards
2024
Est. copies
≈ 303k–492k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Valkyria Chronicles™
2014
Est. copies
≈ 746k–1.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.5M–$17.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeStrategy
METAL GEAR SOLID V: GROUND ZEROES
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.6M–$15.1M after Steam's cut $10.2M–$23.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
StealthAction
The Banner Saga
2014
Est. copies
≈ 894k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.5M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
RPGTurn-Based
Bugsnax
2022
Est. copies
≈ 237k–385k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Creature CollectorAdventure
Brothers in Arms: Hell's Highway™
2008
Est. copies
≈ 154k–250k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$422k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $768k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
World War IIAction

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