How much revenue did Bugsnax make?

$1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Bugsnax sell?

Q: How many copies did Bugsnax sell?

237k to 385k copies, based on its 10k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 237k–385k; $1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.7M before Steam's cut; from 10k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Bugsnax and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bugsnax's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 34k–69k

best case 11.3M (Life is Strange - Episode 1)

Games like Bugsnax

A typical game among these

≈ 34k–69k copies

≈ $61k–$868k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Life is Strange - Episode 1 at ≈ 8.6M–14.0M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 581 reviews in their first month; the range was 39 to 33k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Creature Collector (7 of 8) and Story Rich (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Story Rich + Choices Matter, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Life is Strange - Episode 1 2015	Est. copies ≈ 8.6M–14.0M 157x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	176k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichChoices Matter
Temtem 2022	Est. copies ≈ 975k–1.6M 35x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.4M after Steam's cut $21.9M–$49.9M before Steam's cut	$44.99	39k reviews Very Positive	Co-opMultiplayer
Rune Factory 5 2022	Est. copies ≈ 53k–86k 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $581k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut	$39.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	RPGFarming Sim
Promise Mascot Agency 2025	Est. copies ≈ 68k–111k 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $471k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $856k–$1.9M before Steam's cut	$24.99	3k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RPGAdventure
WEBFISHING 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M 63x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.4M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$9.9M before Steam's cut	$4.99	70k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FishingMultiplayer
Monster Crown 2021	Est. copies ≈ 26k–42k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $71k–$192k after Steam's cut $130k–$295k before Steam's cut	$9.99	1k reviews Mixed	Turn-Based CombatJRPG
Chair F*cking Simulator 2020	Est. copies ≈ 28k–45k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $15k–$41k after Steam's cut $28k–$63k before Steam's cut	$1.99	1k reviews Very Positive	Psychological HorrorDating Sim
Rainbow Billy: The Curse of the Leviathan 2021	Est. copies ≈ 6k–10k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $33k–$89k after Steam's cut $60k–$136k before Steam's cut	$19.99	242 reviews Very Positive	EmotionalIndie