How much revenue did Railbound make?

$172k–$463k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Railbound sell?

Q: How many copies did Railbound sell?

48k to 78k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 48k–78k; $172k–$463k after Steam's cut $313k–$712k before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Railbound and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Railbound's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–205k

best case 627k (A Little to the Left)

Games like Railbound

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–205k copies

≈ $5k–$1.2M after Steam's cut

from ~369 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: A Little to the Left at ≈ 478k–777k copies, ≈ $2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 17 reviews in their first month; the range was 11 to 579.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle (6 of 8) and Trains (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Puzzle + Wholesome, priced around $15.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Station to Station 2023	Est. copies ≈ 49k–79k 5.3x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $241k–$648k after Steam's cut $438k–$996k before Steam's cut	$17.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Simulation Puzzle
Goblin's Expedition 2023	Est. copies ≈ 298–484 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $409–$1k after Steam's cut $744–$2k before Steam's cut	$4.99	12 reviews Positive	StrategyAdventure
Teeny Tiny Trains 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$15k before Steam's cut	$6.99	77 reviews Very Positive	Level EditorCozy
Choo-Choose 2024	Est. copies ≈ 12k–20k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut	$0.99	492 reviews Very Positive	PuzzlePoint & Click
Island Cities - Jigsaw Puzzle 2022	Est. copies ≈ 6k–10k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut	$1.99	246 reviews Very Positive	PuzzlePoint & Click
A Little to the Left 2022	Est. copies ≈ 478k–777k 52x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	19k reviews Very Positive	PuzzleRelaxing
Mini Metro 2015	Est. copies ≈ 819k–1.3M 46x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	17k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	StrategyPuzzle
Mimi the Cat - Meow Together 2023	Est. copies ≈ 521–846 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $571–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut	$3.99	21 reviews Positive	SokobanLocal Co-Op