How much revenue did TOP DOG make?

$18k–$49k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did TOP DOG sell?

Q: How many copies did TOP DOG sell?

7k to 11k copies, based on its 268 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 7k–11k; $18k–$49k after Steam's cut $33k–$76k before Steam's cut; from 268 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid TOP DOG and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including TOP DOG's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7k–17k

best case 519k (EVERSPACE™)

Games like TOP DOG

A typical game among these

≈ 7k–17k copies

≈ $37k–$77k after Steam's cut

from ~313 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: EVERSPACE™ at ≈ 395k–642k copies, ≈ $2.2M–$5.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 278 reviews in their first month; the range was 37 to 445.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action Roguelike (6 of 8) and Rogue-lite (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Space + Action Roguelike, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Space + Space Sim + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Whisker Squadron: Survivor 2025	Est. copies ≈ 14k–22k 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $76k–$203k after Steam's cut $138k–$313k before Steam's cut	$19.99	555 reviews Mostly Positive	On-Rails ShooterAction Roguelike
EVERSPACE™ 2017	Est. copies ≈ 395k–642k 37x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.2M–$5.8M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$9.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	11k reviews Mostly Positive	SpaceAction Roguelike
Metal Thunder 2024	Est. copies ≈ 15k–25k 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $46k–$123k after Steam's cut $83k–$189k before Steam's cut	$10.99	611 reviews Mostly Positive	Early AccessFlight
Switchcars 2021	Est. copies ≈ 12k–19k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $29k–$77k after Steam's cut $52k–$118k before Steam's cut	$8.99	467 reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeAction
Hyperspace Dogfights 2018	Est. copies ≈ 4k–7k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $12k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$48k before Steam's cut	$9.99	140 reviews Very Positive	Rogue-liteLoot
AIRHEART - Tales of broken Wings 2018	Est. copies ≈ 6k–9k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $24k–$64k after Steam's cut $43k–$98k before Steam's cut	$14.99	189 reviews Very Positive	ActionIndie
Bow to Blood: Last Captain Standing 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	69 reviews Very Positive	ActionStrategy
Godrop 2024	Est. copies ≈ 8k–13k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $19k–$52k after Steam's cut $35k–$79k before Steam's cut	$8.99	313 reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeCute