How much revenue did Forward Defense make?

$954–$3k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Forward Defense sell?

Q: How many copies did Forward Defense sell?

496 to 806 copies, based on its 20 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 496–806; $954–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut; from 20 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Forward Defense and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Forward Defense's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 39k–49k

best case 444k (Outpost: Infinity Siege)

Games like Forward Defense

A typical game among these

≈ 39k–49k copies

≈ $144k–$168k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Outpost: Infinity Siege at ≈ 338k–550k copies, ≈ $2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 328 to 10k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Base-Building (5 of 8) and Tower Defense (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Base-Building, priced around $22. The breakout hits carry Base-Building + Resource Management + Tactical; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: 5 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Front 2025	Est. copies ≈ 266k–432k 9.4x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	11k reviews Mixed	Early AccessOpen World Survival Craft
Out of Ammo 2016	Est. copies ≈ 31k–50k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $84k–$226k after Steam's cut $153k–$347k before Steam's cut	$9.99	735 reviews Very Positive	VRTower Defense
Outpost: Infinity Siege 2024	Est. copies ≈ 338k–550k 12x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut	$24.99	14k reviews Mixed	Robots3D
Northend Tower Defense 2024	Est. copies ≈ 36k–59k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $79k–$213k after Steam's cut $144k–$328k before Steam's cut	$7.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	Tower DefenseIndie
Tower Dominion 2025	Est. copies ≈ 139k–226k 4.9x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $669k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut	$17.49	6k reviews Very Positive	Tower DefenseStrategy
Beach Invasion 1944 2022	Est. copies ≈ 27k–44k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $74k–$200k after Steam's cut $135k–$308k before Steam's cut	$9.99	1k reviews Very Positive	Tower DefenseArcade
Diplomacy is Not an Option 2024	Est. copies ≈ 315k–512k 11x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	13k reviews Very Positive	Real-Time with PauseResource Management
Home Wars 2017	Est. copies ≈ 41k–66k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $112k–$302k after Steam's cut $204k–$464k before Steam's cut	$9.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	RTSFPS