How much revenue did The Last Bug make?

$490–$1k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Last Bug sell?

Q: How many copies did The Last Bug sell?

446 to 725 copies, based on its 18 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 446–725; $490–$1k after Steam's cut $890–$2k before Steam's cut; from 18 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Last Bug and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Last Bug's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 169k–383k

best case 750k (Warhammer 40,000: Gladius - Relics of War)

Games like The Last Bug

A typical game among these

≈ 169k–383k copies

≈ $1.6M–$3.9M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Warhammer 40,000: Gladius - Relics of War at ≈ 572k–929k copies, ≈ $6.3M–$16.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 825 to 7k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Hex Grid (6 of 8) and Turn-Based Strategy (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Warhammer 40K + 4X, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2009 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Warhammer 40,000: Gladius - Relics of War 2018	Est. copies ≈ 572k–929k 3.3x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.3M–$16.9M after Steam's cut $11.4M–$26.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	19k reviews Very Positive	StrategyWarhammer 40K
Battle for Wesnoth 2018	Est. copies ≈ 183k–297k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	6k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayStrategy
King's Bounty II 2021	Est. copies ≈ 137k–223k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut	$39.99	6k reviews Mixed	StrategyRPG
Pit People® 2018	Est. copies ≈ 249k–404k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	8k reviews Very Positive	Turn-Based CombatOnline Co-Op
King's Bounty: The Legend 2009	Est. copies ≈ 255k–414k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $490k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $891k–$2.0M before Steam's cut	$6.99	4k reviews Very Positive	RPGStrategy
For The King II 2023	Est. copies ≈ 403k–654k 2.8x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut	$24.99	16k reviews Mostly Positive	AdventureRPG
Panzer Corps 2 2020	Est. copies ≈ 104k–169k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	4k reviews Very Positive	StrategyWorld War II
Curious Expedition 2 2021	Est. copies ≈ 103k–167k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $566k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	4k reviews Very Positive	AdventureSimulation