How much revenue did Dicefolk make?

$115k–$310k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Dicefolk sell?

Q: How many copies did Dicefolk sell?

28k to 45k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 28k–45k; $115k–$310k after Steam's cut $209k–$477k before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dicefolk and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dicefolk's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 223k–454k

best case 749k (Monster Train)

Games like Dicefolk

A typical game among these

≈ 223k–454k copies

≈ $1.5M–$3.8M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Monster Train at ≈ 570k–927k copies, ≈ $3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 9k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Card Game (6 of 8) and Rogue-like (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Card Battler + Rogue-lite, priced around $25.
When they shipped: Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Across the Obelisk 2022	Est. copies ≈ 326k–529k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	13k reviews Very Positive	Rogue-likeStrategy
Monster Train 2020	Est. copies ≈ 570k–927k 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	23k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Card BattlerRogue-lite
Chrono Ark 2024	Est. copies ≈ 342k–555k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	14k reviews Very Positive	Roguelike DeckbuilderAnime
Shogun Showdown 2024	Est. copies ≈ 176k–286k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $726k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	7k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Replay ValueStrategy RPG
Griftlands 2021	Est. copies ≈ 359k–584k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	14k reviews Very Positive	Card BattlerRogue-lite
Astrea: Six-Sided Oracles 2023	Est. copies ≈ 114k–185k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $782k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	5k reviews Very Positive	DiceRoguelike Deckbuilder
Gordian Quest 2022	Est. copies ≈ 150k–244k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $827k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	6k reviews Very Positive	RPGCard Game
Backpack Hero 2023	Est. copies ≈ 212k–344k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	9k reviews Very Positive	Replay ValueTurn-Based