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How many copies did FlatOut 3: Chaos & Destruction sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 277k–450k
$760k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Overwhelmingly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid FlatOut 3: Chaos & Destruction and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including FlatOut 3: Chaos & Destruction's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7k–331k
best case 5.0M (Need for Speed™ Heat)
Games like FlatOut 3: Chaos & Destruction

A typical game among these

≈ 7k–331k copies

≈ $155k–$1.5M after Steam's cut

from ~632 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Need for Speed™ Heat at ≈ 3.8M–6.2M copies, ≈ $73.7M–$198.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 53 reviews in their first month; the range was 53 to 4k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Racing (8 of 8) and Combat Racing (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + Open World, priced around $70. The breakout hits carry Co-op + Adventure + Open World; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

FlatOut
2007
Est. copies
≈ 423k–688k
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$872k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut
$7.49
7k reviews
Very Positive
Combat RacingRacing
Garfield Kart
2015
Est. copies
≈ 691k–1.1M
22x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$948k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Cult ClassicCombat Racing
FlatOut 4: Total Insanity
2017
Est. copies
≈ 80k–131k
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$664k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
2k reviews
Mixed
RacingMultiplayer
Need for Speed™ Heat
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
244x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$73.7M–$198.2M after Steam's cut $134.0M–$304.9M before Steam's cut
$69.99
154k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World
GENSOU Skydrift
2019
Est. copies
≈ 18k–30k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$120k–$323k after Steam's cut $218k–$497k before Steam's cut
$23.99
632 reviews
Very Positive
Combat RacingRacing
Road Rage
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$23k after Steam's cut $15k–$35k before Steam's cut
$9.99
89 reviews
Mostly Negative
ActionRacing
FAST & FURIOUS CROSSROADS
2020
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
162 reviews
Mixed
ActionRacing
DreamWorks All-Star Kart Racing
2023
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$72k–$194k after Steam's cut $131k–$298k before Steam's cut
$39.99
264 reviews
Mixed
RacingAction

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