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How many copies did River Raid 3D sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 149–242
$205–$549 after Steam's cut $372–$845 before Steam's cut
from 6 reviews (6 user reviews)
Only 6 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid River Raid 3D and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including River Raid 3D's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4k–10k
best case 599k (Century: Age of Ashes)
Games like River Raid 3D

A typical game among these

≈ 4k–10k copies

≈ $8k–$34k after Steam's cut

from ~214 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Century: Age of Ashes at ≈ 456k–741k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 9k reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Spectacle fighter (6 of 8) and Flight (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dragons + Team-Based. The breakout hits carry Free to Play + Multiplayer + Team-Based; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

X8
2023
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
198 reviews
Very Positive
VRHero Shooter
Rescue Operation
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$22k after Steam's cut $15k–$34k before Steam's cut
$3.99
298 reviews
Very Positive
Hero ShooterSpectacle fighter
Century: Age of Ashes
2021
Est. copies
≈ 456k–741k
86x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
18k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayDragons
Witch Epoch
2022
Est. copies
≈ 496–806
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
$24.99
20 reviews
Mostly Positive
Hero ShooterSpectacle fighter
Elmarion: Dragon time
2020
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$12k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$48k before Steam's cut
$2.99
564 reviews
Mostly Positive
DragonsFlight
SAVE THE UNICORN
2021
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$123–$330 after Steam's cut $223–$507 before Steam's cut
$2.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
Side ScrollerHero Shooter
illWill
2023
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$44k–$117k after Steam's cut $79k–$180k before Steam's cut
$19.99
320 reviews
Very Positive
Boomer ShooterFPS
Hell Division
2022
Est. copies
≈ 5k–9k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$20k–$55k after Steam's cut $37k–$84k before Steam's cut
$13.99
214 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionSpectacle fighter

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.