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How many copies did The Faction sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 273–443
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
from 11 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Faction and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Faction's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 216k–1.7M
best case 11.3M (Ready or Not)
Games like The Faction

A typical game among these

≈ 216k–1.7M copies

≈ $3.6M–$19.0M after Steam's cut

from ~28k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Ready or Not at ≈ 8.6M–14.0M copies, ≈ $118.4M–$318.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 143k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Crime (7 of 8) and First-Person (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tactical + Realistic, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Ready or Not
2023
Est. copies
≈ 8.6M–14.0M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$118.4M–$318.4M after Steam's cut $215.3M–$489.8M before Steam's cut
$49.99
347k reviews
Mostly Positive
TacticalRealistic
Crime Scene Cleaner
2024
Est. copies
≈ 858k–1.4M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.1M–$19.0M after Steam's cut $12.9M–$29.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationCrime
Thief Simulator 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 170k–276k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$934k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
PAYDAY 3
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.7M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.5M–$36.3M after Steam's cut $24.6M–$55.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
66k reviews
Mixed
HeistCo-op
Drug Dealer Simulator
2020
Est. copies
≈ 522k–848k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.7M after Steam's cut $5.2M–$11.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
21k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationCrime
Thief Simulator
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
40k reviews
Very Positive
Prison Simulator Prologue
2021
Est. copies
≈ 72k–116k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Very Positive
ActionSingleplayer
Drug Dealer Simulator 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 147k–239k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
6k reviews
Mixed
MultiplayerOpen World

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