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How many copies did Sonic the Hedgehog 4 - Episode II sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 147k–239k
$405k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $736k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sonic the Hedgehog 4 - Episode II and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sonic the Hedgehog 4 - Episode II's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.1M–11.3M
best case 15.2M (Fall Guys)
Games like Sonic the Hedgehog 4 - Episode II

A typical game among these

≈ 4.1M–11.3M copies

≈ $26.8M–$108.0M after Steam's cut

from ~174k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Fall Guys at ≈ 11.6M–18.9M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 41k reviews in their first month; the range was 16k to 144k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (6 of 8) and Platformer (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Party Game + Battle Royale.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

BattleBlock Theater®
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.8M–$45.3M after Steam's cut $30.6M–$69.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
73k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Chained Together
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
64k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opAdventure
Fall Guys
2020
Est. copies
≈ 11.6M–18.9M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
468k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerParty Game
Split Fiction
2025
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$43.4M–$116.6M after Steam's cut $78.8M–$179.4M before Steam's cut
$49.99
127k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Co-opSplit Screen
Broforce
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
61k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AmericaAction
Cuphead
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.6M–12.4M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$41.9M–$112.7M after Steam's cut $76.2M–$173.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
222k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DifficultCartoon
Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 29.5M–48.0M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
467k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
It Takes Two
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6.7M–10.9M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$73.7M–$198.3M after Steam's cut $134.1M–$305.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
270k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Co-opMultiplayer

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