How much revenue did Lumino City make?

$258k–$695k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Lumino City sell?

Q: How many copies did Lumino City sell?

78k to 127k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 78k–127k; $258k–$695k after Steam's cut $470k–$1.1M before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lumino City and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lumino City's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 11.3M–22.6M

best case 38.8M (Portal 2)

Games like Lumino City

A typical game among these

≈ 11.3M–22.6M copies

≈ $94.3M–$155.6M after Steam's cut

from ~271k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Puzzle (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Portal 2 at ≈ 29.5M–48.0M copies, ≈ $81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle (4 of 8) and Story Rich (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Platformer + Puzzle, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2004 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Tomb Raider Game of the Year 2013	Est. copies ≈ 17.1M–27.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $94.0M–$252.8M after Steam's cut $171.0M–$388.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	271k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AdventureAction
Hogwarts Legacy 2023	Est. copies ≈ 9.3M–15.1M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $153.2M–$412.0M after Steam's cut $278.6M–$633.8M before Steam's cut	$59.99	375k reviews Very Positive	MagicOpen World
It Takes Two 2021	Est. copies ≈ 6.7M–10.9M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $73.7M–$198.3M after Steam's cut $134.1M–$305.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	270k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Co-opMultiplayer
Portal 2007	Est. copies ≈ 12.6M–20.5M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut $63.0M–$143.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	199k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
Human Fall Flat 2016	Est. copies ≈ 9.5M–15.4M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut $94.5M–$214.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	227k reviews Very Positive	Co-opFunny
Resident Evil 2 2019	Est. copies ≈ 6.5M–10.5M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $70.9M–$190.7M after Steam's cut $129.0M–$293.4M before Steam's cut	$39.99	224k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ZombiesSurvival Horror
Portal 2 2011	Est. copies ≈ 29.5M–48.0M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	467k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Platformer Puzzle
Half-Life 2 2004	Est. copies ≈ 17.7M–28.8M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $48.6M–$130.7M after Steam's cut $88.4M–$201.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	280k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSAction