How much revenue did LONESTAR make?

$217k–$583k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did LONESTAR sell?

Q: How many copies did LONESTAR sell?

61k to 99k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 61k–99k; $217k–$583k after Steam's cut $394k–$896k before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid LONESTAR and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including LONESTAR's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 637k–1.1M

best case 2.5M (Minion Masters)

Games like LONESTAR

A typical game among these

≈ 637k–1.1M copies

≈ $5.6M–$7.2M after Steam's cut

from ~23k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Minion Masters at ≈ 1.9M–3.1M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the range was 6k to 17k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Turn-Based Strategy (5 of 8) and Turn-Based Tactics (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Trading Card Game + Turn-Based Tactics. The breakout hits carry PvE + Trading Card Game + Stylized; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Loop Hero 2021	Est. copies ≈ 907k–1.5M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$10.1M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.5M before Steam's cut	$14.99	37k reviews Very Positive	TacticalRogue-like
Battle Brothers 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.0M–1.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.3M–$22.2M after Steam's cut $15.0M–$34.1M before Steam's cut	$29.99	29k reviews Very Positive	StrategyRPG
觅长生 2023	Est. copies ≈ 797k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	32k reviews Very Positive	RPGOpen World
Monster Train 2020	Est. copies ≈ 570k–927k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	23k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Card BattlerRogue-lite
Gloomhaven 2021	Est. copies ≈ 400k–650k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.9M–$10.4M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before Steam's cut	$34.99	16k reviews Very Positive	Online Co-OpDark Fantasy
Into the Breach 2018	Est. copies ≈ 682k–1.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	22k reviews Very Positive	StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
The Last Spell 2023	Est. copies ≈ 341k–555k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	14k reviews Very Positive	StrategySingleplayer
Minion Masters 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.1M 2.8x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	65k reviews Very Positive	PvETrading Card Game