How much revenue did Rainy Butcher make?

$4k–$10k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Rainy Butcher sell?

Q: How many copies did Rainy Butcher sell?

2k to 4k copies, based on its 92 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–4k; $4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut; from 92 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rainy Butcher and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rainy Butcher's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 289k–309k

best case 349k (No Case Should Remain Unsolved)

Games like Rainy Butcher

A typical game among these

≈ 289k–309k copies

≈ $1.4M–$2.1M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: No Case Should Remain Unsolved at ≈ 266k–433k copies, ≈ $512k–$1.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 207 to 3k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle (6 of 8) and Interactive Fiction (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Investigation + Interactive Fiction, priced around $8. The breakout hits carry Investigation + Interactive Fiction + Typing; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Her Story 2015	Est. copies ≈ 509k–827k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut	$9.99	10k reviews Very Positive	InvestigationTyping
OPUS: Echo of Starsong - Full Bloom Edition 2021	Est. copies ≈ 235k–382k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	9k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelEmotional
No Case Should Remain Unsolved 2024	Est. copies ≈ 266k–433k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $512k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $930k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$6.99	11k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Interactive FictionPuzzle
Mosaique Neko Waifus 2 2020	Est. copies ≈ 70k–114k too small to compare SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $96k–$259k after Steam's cut $175k–$399k before Steam's cut	$4.99	3k reviews Very Positive	HentaiSexual Content
The Operator 2024	Est. copies ≈ 220k–358k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $848k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut	$13.99	9k reviews Very Positive	DetectiveInvestigation
Storyteller 2023	Est. copies ≈ 229k–372k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $944k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	9k reviews Very Positive	PuzzleInteractive Fiction
Otaku's Adventure 2019	Est. copies ≈ 262k–426k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $504k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $917k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$6.99	9k reviews Very Positive	FunnyMultiple Endings
Buy a Croquette! 2024	Est. copies ≈ 214k–348k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	9k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RPGMakerMystery