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How many copies did Methods: The Canada Files sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 10k–16k
$56k–$150k after Steam's cut $101k–$230k before Steam's cut
from 408 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Methods: The Canada Files and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Methods: The Canada Files's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 397k–746k
best case 11.5M (POSTAL 2)
Games like Methods: The Canada Files

A typical game among these

≈ 397k–746k copies

≈ $2.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Dark Humor (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: POSTAL 2 at ≈ 8.7M–14.2M copies, ≈ $24.0M–$64.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Dark Humor (4 of 8) and Comedy (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Violent + Dark Humor, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Violent + Mature + Open World; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 1997 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

POSTAL 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 8.7M–14.2M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$24.0M–$64.5M after Steam's cut $43.6M–$99.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
138k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ViolentDark Humor
POSTAL
1997
Est. copies
≈ 916k–1.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
14k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorVillain Protagonist
Comedy Night
2017
Est. copies
≈ 320k–519k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$439k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $798k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$4.99
9k reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualComedy
POSTAL 4: No Regerts
2022
Est. copies
≈ 335k–544k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$5.0M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
14k reviews
Mixed
AdventureGore
60 Seconds! Reatomized
2019
Est. copies
≈ 566k–919k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
2DChoose Your Own Adventure
Journey To The Savage Planet
2021
Est. copies
≈ 172k–279k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureExploration
60 Seconds!
2015
Est. copies
≈ 571k–927k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$8.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based TacticsExploration
Reventure
2019
Est. copies
≈ 285k–463k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$966k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.0M before Steam's cut
$12.34
10k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureIndie

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