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How many copies did Pro Cycling Manager 2023 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 16k–26k
$175k–$471k after Steam's cut $318k–$724k before Steam's cut
from 642 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Pro Cycling Manager 2023 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Pro Cycling Manager 2023's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.7M–10.4M
best case 9.9M (Forza Horizon 4)
Games like Pro Cycling Manager 2023

A typical game among these

≈ 4.7M–10.4M copies

≈ $62.9M–$156.0M after Steam's cut

from ~189k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Forza Horizon 4 at ≈ 7.5M–12.2M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 19k reviews in their first month; the range was 10k to 42k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (5 of 8) and Racing (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + Open World.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Forza Horizon 4
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.2M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
303k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World
VRChat
2017
Est. copies
≈ 9.3M–15.1M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
269k reviews
Mostly Positive
VRFree to Play
FIFA 22
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
120k reviews
Very Positive
Football (Soccer)Sports
Assetto Corsa
2014
Est. copies
≈ 9.8M–15.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut $97.8M–$222.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
175k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
EA SPORTS™ FIFA 23
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
150k reviews
Mixed
Football (Soccer)Sports
CarX Drift Racing Online
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.4M–$38.6M after Steam's cut $26.1M–$59.4M before Steam's cut
$16.99
89k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RacingPhysics
theHunter: Call of the Wild™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.4M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
203k reviews
Very Positive
HuntingOpen World
Forza Horizon 5
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.4M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$115.3M–$310.1M after Steam's cut $209.7M–$477.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
282k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.