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How many copies did Art Reborn: Painting Connoisseur sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9k–15k
$17k–$46k after Steam's cut $31k–$71k before Steam's cut
from 361 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Art Reborn: Painting Connoisseur and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Art Reborn: Painting Connoisseur's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 20k–73k
best case 122k (Frozen Free Fall: Snowball Fight)
Games like Art Reborn: Painting Connoisseur

A typical game among these

≈ 20k–73k copies

≈ $21k–$46k after Steam's cut

from ~714 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Frozen Free Fall: Snowball Fight at ≈ 93k–151k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 138 reviews in their first month; the range was 39 to 291.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Match 3 (6 of 8) and Puzzle (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Match 3 + Female Protagonist.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hentai Asmodeus
2019
Est. copies
≈ 54k–88k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$30k–$80k after Steam's cut $54k–$123k before Steam's cut
$1.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Frozen Free Fall: Snowball Fight
2015
Est. copies
≈ 93k–151k
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayCasual
Fake Hostel
2021
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$20k–$53k after Steam's cut $36k–$82k before Steam's cut
$4.99
579 reviews
Mixed
Sexual ContentAnime
Adorable Crush
2020
Est. copies
≈ 16k–26k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$13k–$36k after Steam's cut $24k–$55k before Steam's cut
$2.99
650 reviews
Mostly Positive
Dating SimHentai
Cyber Crush 2069
2020
Est. copies
≈ 19k–31k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$11k–$28k after Steam's cut $19k–$44k before Steam's cut
$1.99
778 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualSimulation
Defeated Girl
2020
Est. copies
≈ 10k–17k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$23k before Steam's cut
$1.99
413 reviews
Very Positive
CasualAdventure
Among the Heavens
2015
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$12k–$33k after Steam's cut $22k–$51k before Steam's cut
$2.99
308 reviews
Very Positive
CasualSimulation
Intergalactic Bubbles
2015
Est. copies
≈ 58k–95k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$32k–$86k after Steam's cut $58k–$132k before Steam's cut
$1.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualIndie

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.