How much revenue did Defeated Girl make?

$6k–$15k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Defeated Girl sell?

Q: How many copies did Defeated Girl sell?

10k to 17k copies, based on its 413 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 10k–17k; $6k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$23k before Steam's cut; from 413 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Defeated Girl and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Defeated Girl's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.7M–23.7M

best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)

Games like Defeated Girl

A typical game among these

≈ 6.7M–23.7M copies

≈ $25.4M–$73.7M after Steam's cut

from ~155k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Simulation (2 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Simulation (2 of 8) and Tower Defense (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2009 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 95.8M–155.7M 18x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.8M reviews Mixed	SurvivalShooter
Totally Accurate Battle Simulator 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.8M–6.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.0M–$56.6M after Steam's cut $38.3M–$87.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	154k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxSimulation
Plants vs. Zombies GOTY Edition 2009	Est. copies ≈ 9.9M–16.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.6M–$36.5M after Steam's cut $24.7M–$56.1M before Steam's cut	$4.99	156k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tower DefenseZombies
Bloons TD 6 2018	Est. copies ≈ 12.0M–19.6M 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $46.3M–$124.5M after Steam's cut $84.2M–$191.5M before Steam's cut	$13.99	396k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tower DefenseStrategy
Papers, Please 2013	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $14.0M–$37.6M after Steam's cut $25.5M–$57.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	81k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	IndiePolitical
SMITE® 2015	Est. copies ≈ 5.9M–9.5M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	120k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayMOBA
FTL: Faster Than Light 2012	Est. copies ≈ 5.0M–8.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.7M–$36.8M after Steam's cut $24.9M–$56.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	79k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Rogue-likeSpace
Geometry Dash 2014	Est. copies ≈ 36.2M–58.9M 4.2x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut $90.4M–$205.7M before Steam's cut	$4.99	647k reviews Very Positive	DifficultMusic