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How big is Maurice: In The Predator's Nest?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 51k–83k
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Maurice: In The Predator's Nest and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Maurice: In The Predator's Nest's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.9M–4.9M
best case 10.5M (Metro 2033 Redux)
Games like Maurice: In The Predator's Nest

A typical game among these

≈ 2.9M–4.9M copies

≈ $33.7M–$46.6M after Steam's cut

from ~67k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Metro 2033 Redux at ≈ 8.0M–12.9M copies, ≈ $43.8M–$117.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 14k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 31k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share First-Person (6 of 8) and Horror (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with First-Person, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Atmospheric + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

GTFO
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$18.2M–$49.1M after Steam's cut $33.2M–$75.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
67k reviews
Very Positive
Online Co-OpHorror
DEVOUR
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.0M–$16.2M after Steam's cut $11.0M–$24.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
88k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Outlast
2013
Est. copies
≈ 8.8M–14.4M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$36.4M–$98.0M after Steam's cut $66.3M–$150.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
140k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorFirst-Person
Alien: Isolation
2014
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$41.3M–$110.9M after Steam's cut $75.0M–$170.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
67k reviews
Very Positive
Metro 2033 Redux
2014
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–12.9M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$43.8M–$117.8M after Steam's cut $79.6M–$181.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
142k reviews
Very Positive
Post-apocalypticFPS
Wolfenstein: The New Order
2014
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$19.2M–$51.7M after Steam's cut $34.9M–$79.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
62k reviews
Very Positive
FPSAction
Metro: Last Light Redux
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.6M–7.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.3M–$67.9M after Steam's cut $45.9M–$104.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
82k reviews
Very Positive
Post-apocalypticFPS
Metro Exodus
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.9M–$74.9M after Steam's cut $50.7M–$115.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
136k reviews
Very Positive
Post-apocalypticFPS

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