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How many copies did Deck of Souls sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–9k
$18k–$49k after Steam's cut $33k–$75k before Steam's cut
from 222 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Deck of Souls and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Deck of Souls's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 417k–761k
best case 1.0M (觅长生)
Games like Deck of Souls

A typical game among these

≈ 417k–761k copies

≈ $2.8M–$7.2M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: 觅长生 at ≈ 797k–1.3M copies, ≈ $3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 17k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Game (6 of 8) and Deckbuilding (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Martial Arts, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Gloomhaven
2021
Est. copies
≈ 400k–650k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.4M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before Steam's cut
$34.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
Online Co-OpDark Fantasy
Monster Train
2020
Est. copies
≈ 570k–927k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Card BattlerRogue-lite
觅长生
2023
Est. copies
≈ 797k–1.3M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
RPGOpen World
Across the Obelisk
2022
Est. copies
≈ 326k–529k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Rogue-likeStrategy
Wildfrost
2023
Est. copies
≈ 220k–357k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Card BattlerDifficult
Wizard101
2018
Est. copies
≈ 293k–476k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
10k reviews
Very Positive
ColorfulMMORPG
Marvel's Midnight Suns
2022
Est. copies
≈ 609k–990k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.0M–$27.0M after Steam's cut $18.3M–$41.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
SuperheroTurn-Based Tactics
Talisman: Digital Classic Edition
2014
Est. copies
≈ 561k–912k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut
$6.99
10k reviews
Mostly Positive
Board GameTabletop

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