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How many copies did Archaeogem sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7k–11k
$19k–$52k after Steam's cut $35k–$80k before Steam's cut
from 285 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Archaeogem and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Archaeogem's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 72k–236k
best case 5.9M (Celeste)
Games like Archaeogem

A typical game among these

≈ 72k–236k copies

≈ $158k–$1.7M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Celeste at ≈ 4.5M–7.4M copies, ≈ $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 351 reviews in their first month; the range was 176 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Precision Platformer (8 of 8) and Exploration (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Platformer, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Female Protagonist + Difficult + Pixel Graphics; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.4M
46x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
149k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
BETON BRUTAL
2023
Est. copies
≈ 32k–52k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$62k–$166k after Steam's cut $112k–$256k before Steam's cut
$6.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
3D PlatformerPrecision Platformer
VVVVVV
2010
Est. copies
≈ 667k–1.1M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$916k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut
$4.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsPrecision Platformer
Leap Year
2024
Est. copies
≈ 80k–129k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$109k–$294k after Steam's cut $199k–$452k before Steam's cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationPrecision Platformer
Prince of Persia The Lost Crown
2024
Est. copies
≈ 182k–295k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaExploration
Blue Fire
2021
Est. copies
≈ 77k–126k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$425k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $772k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaExploration
Toree 2
2021
Est. copies
≈ 27k–45k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$7k–$20k after Steam's cut $14k–$31k before Steam's cut
$0.99
1k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action3D Platformer
Hot Lava
2019
Est. copies
≈ 178k–289k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$977k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Precision Platformer3D Platformer

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