How much revenue did Dread Dawn make?

$310k–$834k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Dread Dawn sell?

Q: How many copies did Dread Dawn sell?

56k to 92k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 56k–92k; $310k–$834k after Steam's cut $564k–$1.3M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dread Dawn and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dread Dawn's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–8.6M

best case 27.3M (The Forest)

Games like Dread Dawn

A typical game among these

≈ 1.3M–8.6M copies

≈ $9.6M–$199.4M after Steam's cut

from ~59k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 72k reviews in their first month; the range was 337 to 327k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (8 of 8) and Survival (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition 2022	Est. copies ≈ 5.5M–8.9M 3.7x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $90.1M–$242.1M after Steam's cut $163.7M–$372.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	220k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldCo-op
Just Survive 2015	Est. copies ≈ 3.7M–6.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	77k reviews Mixed	ZombiesSurvival
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.8M–33.7M 12x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	683k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Far Cry® Primal 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $14.2M–$38.2M after Steam's cut $25.9M–$58.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	41k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldSurvival
State of Decay 2013	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	17k reviews Very Positive	ZombiesSurvival
DESOLATE 2019	Est. copies ≈ 232k–377k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $957k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$4.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	8k reviews Mixed	SurvivalOpen World
SurrounDead 2022	Est. copies ≈ 671k–1.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.1M before Steam's cut	$11.99	27k reviews Very Positive	ZombiesSurvival
7 Days to Die 2024	Est. copies ≈ 9.9M–16.2M 6.8x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut $223.8M–$509.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	401k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalZombies