How much revenue did Steel Guardian make?

$265–$715 after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Steel Guardian sell?

Q: How many copies did Steel Guardian sell?

74 to 121 copies, based on its 3 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 74–121; $265–$715 after Steam's cut $481–$1k before Steam's cut; from 3 reviews (3 user reviews); Only 3 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Steel Guardian and predicted how it would do from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including Steel Guardian's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.7M–18.1M

best case 27.5M (Fallout 4)

Games like Steel Guardian

A typical game among these

≈ 3.7M–18.1M copies

≈ $32.5M–$77.1M after Steam's cut

from ~165k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 7 similar games are hits.

Best case: Fallout 4 at ≈ 21.0M–34.1M copies, ≈ $115.2M–$309.7M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (6 of 7) and Exploration (5 of 7).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Post-apocalyptic, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2008 to 2024, and 1 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Fallout 4 2015	Est. copies ≈ 21.0M–34.1M 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $115.2M–$309.7M after Steam's cut $209.4M–$476.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	429k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldPost-apocalyptic
Enshrouded 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $29.0M–$77.9M after Steam's cut $52.7M–$119.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	106k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldSurvival
The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion® Game of the Year Edition (2009) 2009	Est. copies ≈ 3.4M–5.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.8M–$37.2M after Steam's cut $25.2M–$57.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	53k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RPGOpen World
The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion® Game of the Year Edition Deluxe (2009) 2009	Est. copies ≈ 0 too small to compare SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $0 after Steam's cut $0 before Steam's cut	$19.99	0 reviews No user reviews	RPGOpen World
Fallout: New Vegas 2010	Est. copies ≈ 16.6M–26.9M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut $82.7M–$188.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	262k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open WorldRPG
鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal 2023	Est. copies ≈ 5.6M–9.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's cut $55.7M–$126.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	225k reviews Mixed	ManagementSingleplayer
Fallout 3 2008	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.9M–$10.4M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	22k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldPost-apocalyptic