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How many copies did Stories from Sol: The Gun-Dog sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 24k–39k
$98k–$264k after Steam's cut $179k–$407k before Steam's cut
from 962 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Stories from Sol: The Gun-Dog and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Stories from Sol: The Gun-Dog's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 320k–353k
best case 1.5M (STEINS;GATE)
Games like Stories from Sol: The Gun-Dog

A typical game among these

≈ 320k–353k copies

≈ $1.8M–$3.6M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: STEINS;GATE at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $9.3M–$25.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Visual Novel (8 of 8) and Anime (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Story Rich, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Multiple Endings + Casual; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

STEINS;GATE
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$9.3M–$25.1M after Steam's cut $16.9M–$38.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
27k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AI: The Somnium Files
2019
Est. copies
≈ 272k–442k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelAnime
ATRI -My Dear Moments-
2020
Est. copies
≈ 584k–949k
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before Steam's cut
$20.99
24k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAnime
Aliya: Timelink
2024
Est. copies
≈ 240k–390k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$197k–$530k after Steam's cut $359k–$816k before Steam's cut
$2.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGInteractive Fiction
STEINS;GATE 0
2018
Est. copies
≈ 259k–421k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.7M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.3M before Steam's cut
$34.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Lucy -The Eternity She Wished For-
2016
Est. copies
≈ 343k–558k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$944k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAnime
Zero Escape: Zero Time Dilemma
2016
Est. copies
≈ 205k–334k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Zero Escape: The Nonary Games
2017
Est. copies
≈ 256k–415k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.8M–$8.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
7k reviews
Very Positive

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