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How many copies did Deducto 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 14k–23k
$20k–$53k after Steam's cut $36k–$81k before Steam's cut
from 576 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Deducto 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Deducto 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 275k–555k
best case 29.9M (Among Us)
Games like Deducto 2

A typical game among these

≈ 275k–555k copies

≈ $1.4M–$2.2M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Among Us at ≈ 22.8M–37.0M copies, ≈ $31.3M–$84.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Social Deduction (6 of 8) and Co-op (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Social Deduction + Space, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Space + 2D + Funny; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Social DeductionHeist
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≈ 22.8M–37.0M
69x vs typical
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