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How many copies did Wayhaven Chronicles: Book Three sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–6k
$12k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$48k before Steam's cut
from 143 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Wayhaven Chronicles: Book Three and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Wayhaven Chronicles: Book Three's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.5M–8.3M
best case 78.3M (Euro Truck Simulator 2)
Games like Wayhaven Chronicles: Book Three

A typical game among these

≈ 5.5M–8.3M copies

≈ $67.7M–$108.8M after Steam's cut

from ~143k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Open World (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Euro Truck Simulator 2 at ≈ 59.7M–97.0M copies, ≈ $328.0M–$881.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (3 of 8) and Dark Fantasy (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Open World + Driving + Transportation; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DAVE THE DIVER
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.2M–$59.8M after Steam's cut $40.4M–$91.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
163k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsCasual
Euro Truck Simulator 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 59.7M–97.0M
6.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$328.0M–$881.9M after Steam's cut $596.4M–$1356.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
944k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DrivingTransportation
DARK SOULS™: REMASTERED
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.8M–7.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$52.3M–$140.6M after Steam's cut $95.1M–$216.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
156k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy
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2015
Est. copies
≈ 21.0M–34.1M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$115.2M–$309.7M after Steam's cut $209.4M–$476.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
429k reviews
Very Positive
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DARK SOULS™ II: Scholar of the First Sin
2015
Est. copies
≈ 6.5M–10.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$71.3M–$191.8M after Steam's cut $129.7M–$295.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
133k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Marvel’s Spider-Man Remastered
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$59.0M–$158.6M after Steam's cut $107.3M–$244.0M before Steam's cut
$59.99
144k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldSuperhero
SMITE®
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5.9M–9.5M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
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Free to PlayMOBA
Castle Crashers®
2012
Est. copies
≈ 8.9M–14.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$36.7M–$98.7M after Steam's cut $66.8M–$151.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
141k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2DOnline Co-Op

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