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How many copies did Off to Sleep sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 25–40
$7–$18 after Steam's cut $12–$28 before Steam's cut
from 1 review (1 user reviews)
Only 1 review so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Off to Sleep and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Off to Sleep's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9k–502k
best case 8.6M (Detroit: Become Human)
Games like Off to Sleep

A typical game among these

≈ 9k–502k copies

≈ $138k–$8.5M after Steam's cut

from ~928 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Detroit: Become Human at ≈ 6.6M–10.7M copies, ≈ $72.1M–$193.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 86 reviews in their first month; the range was 31 to 8k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Emotional (8 of 8) and Story Rich (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Choices Matter + Story Rich, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Guilt Free
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
296 reviews
Very Positive
Story RichChoices Matter
Detroit: Become Human
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.6M–10.7M
285x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$72.1M–$193.9M after Steam's cut $131.1M–$298.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
264k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich
That Dragon, Cancer
2016
Est. copies
≈ 65k–105k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$178k–$479k after Steam's cut $324k–$737k before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
IndieStory Rich
Copycat
2024
Est. copies
≈ 148k–241k
6.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$611k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
CatsEmotional
Beyond: Two Souls
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
47x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.0M–$16.0M after Steam's cut $10.9M–$24.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureChoices Matter
The Book of Distance
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
188 reviews
Very Positive
Interactive FictionVR
Closer the Distance
2024
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$40k–$108k after Steam's cut $73k–$167k before Steam's cut
$19.99
296 reviews
Very Positive
NarrativeStory Rich
Spiral
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$9k–$24k after Steam's cut $16k–$37k before Steam's cut
$19.99
65 reviews
Very Positive
Story RichEmotional

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.