How much revenue did Spiral make?

$9k–$24k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Spiral sell?

Q: How many copies did Spiral sell?

2k to 3k copies, based on its 65 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–3k; $9k–$24k after Steam's cut $16k–$37k before Steam's cut; from 65 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Spiral and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Spiral's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 902k–1.5M

best case 8.6M (Detroit: Become Human)

Games like Spiral

A typical game among these

≈ 902k–1.5M copies

≈ $6.0M–$10.3M after Steam's cut

from ~29k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Detroit: Become Human at ≈ 6.6M–10.7M copies, ≈ $72.1M–$193.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 515 to 8k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Choices Matter (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Choices Matter + Story Rich, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Futuristic + Robots + Multiple Endings; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Heavy Rain 2020	Est. copies ≈ 788k–1.3M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.3M–$11.7M after Steam's cut $7.9M–$17.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	32k reviews Very Positive	Choices MatterStory Rich
Road 96 🛣️ 2021	Est. copies ≈ 653k–1.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.6M–$9.6M after Steam's cut $6.5M–$14.8M before Steam's cut	$19.96	26k reviews Very Positive	First-PersonColorful
The Beginner's Guide 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	24k reviews Very Positive	Story Rich Walking Simulator
Detroit: Become Human 2020	Est. copies ≈ 6.6M–10.7M 9.1x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $72.1M–$193.9M after Steam's cut $131.1M–$298.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	264k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Choices MatterStory Rich
What Remains of Edith Finch 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–3.0M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	53k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichAtmospheric
The Last Campfire 2021	Est. copies ≈ 516k–839k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut	$14.99	21k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzleAdventure
Beyond: Two Souls 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.0M–$16.0M after Steam's cut $10.9M–$24.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	44k reviews Very Positive	AdventureChoices Matter
Banishers: Ghosts of New Eden 2024	Est. copies ≈ 231k–376k too small to compare SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.1M before Steam's cut	$49.99	9k reviews Very Positive	NarrationLore-Rich